Team GB are expected to hoover up medals in athletics, track cycling and rowing at the Paris 2024 Olympic Games, according to a new forecast, but may find the top step of the podium consistently eludes them.
However, with only 13 gold medals predicted for Team GB – propped up by four from the rowers – it could be an Olympics of near-misses.
BMX star Beth Shriever and modern pentathlete Joe Choong are the only athletes backed to defend their individual titles from Tokyo, with swimmer Adam Peaty and gymnast Max Whitlock expected to fall off the podium entirely despite striking gold three years ago.
Still, Britain are backed for a medal rush in the velodrome, including titles in the women’s Madison and team pursuit, while they are forecast to win nine more medals in athletics – albeit no gold.
Katarina Johnson-Thompson’s hunt for an Olympic medal in the heptathlon is projected to end at the fourth attempt, with a silver to back up her impressive win at the World Championships in Budapest last summer, while Dina Asher-Smith and Keely Hodgkinson are predicted to take bronze in the 200m and 800m respectively – two of the most hotly-anticipated events of the Games.
Joe Clarke and Kimberley Woods are forecast to win gold in the kayak cross – a new high-octane canoe slalom race – while Clarke is also backed to win bronze in the K1 event.
Elsewhere on the gold trail, Bradly Sinden is tipped to upgrade his silver from Tokyo in the taekwondo featherweight division, Bryony Page is backed to triumph in trampolining, and Oliver Townend is set to add an individual Olympic eventing title to his collection on Ballaghmor Class.
Meanwhile, Tom Pidcock is expected to relinquish his men’s mountain bike title from Tokyo, dropping to second, while Tom Daley is backed for silver alongside Noah Williams in the men’s 10m platform synchronised diving.
Sky Brown, Team GB’s youngest ever medallist in Tokyo aged 13, is also forecast to win silver in the skateboard park event.
The VMT places Britain third for total medals in Paris, behind the United States (123) and China (89), although they slip to fifth when the table is weighted towards gold medals.
Who is predicted to win medals for Team GB at Paris 2024?
Gold – 13
- Beth Shriever – BMX Racing
- Joe Clarke – Canoe Slalom, Kayak Cross
- Kimberley Woods – Canoe Slalom, Kayak Cross
- Team GB – Track Cycling, Madison (women)
- Team GB – Track Cycling, Team Pursuit (women)
- Oliver Townend (Ballaghmor Class) – Equestrian, Eventing Individual
- Bryony Page – Trampolining
- Joe Choong – Modern Pentathlon
- Ollie Wynne-Griffith & Tom George – Rowing, Pair
- Emily Craig & Imogen Grant – Rowing, Lightweight Double Sculls
- Team GB – Rowing, Four (men)
- Team GB – Rowing, Eight (men)
- Bradly Sinden – Taekwondo, Featherweight -68kg
Silver – 23
- Josh Kerr – Athletics, 1500m
- Katarina Johnson-Thompson – Athletics, Heptathlon
- Keiran Reilly – BMX Freestyle
- Mallory Franklin – Canoe Slalom, C1
- Team GB – Track Cycling, Madison (men)
- Katie Archibald – Track Cycling, Omnium
- Emma Finucane – Track Cycling, Sprint
- Team GB – Track Cycling, Team Sprint (women)
- Tom Daley & Noah Williams – Diving, 10m Platform Synchro
- Jack Laugher and Anthony Harding – Diving, 3m Springboard Synchro
- Charlotte Fry (Everdale) – Equestrian, Dressage Individual
- Tom Pidcock – Mountain Bike XCO
- Team GB – Rowing, Four (women)
- Team GB – Rowing, Quadruple Sculls (women)
- Michael Beckett – Sailing, ILCA 7
- Emma Wilson – Sailing, iQFOiL
- John Gimson & Anna Burnet – Sailing, Nacra 17
- Team GB – Shooting, Team Skeet
- Sky Brown – Skateboarding, Park
- Team GB – Swimming, 4 x 200m Freestyle Relay (men)
- Ben Proud – Swimming, 50m Freestyle
- Georgia Taylor-Brown – Triathlon
Bronze – 30
- Jessica Gadirova – Artistic Gymnastics, Floor
- Dina Asher-Smith – Athletics, 200m
- Matthew Hudson-Smith – Athletics, 400m
- Keely Hodgkinson – Athletics, 800m
- Laura Muir – Athletics, 1500m
- Team GB – Athletics, 4x100m Relay (women)
- Team GB – Athletics, 4x100m Relay (men)
- Team GB – Athletics, 4x400m Relay (women)
- Joe Clarke – Canoe Slalom, K1
- Ethan Hayter – Track Cycling, Omnium
- Team GB – Track Cycling, Team Pursuit (men)
- Team GB – Track Cycling, Team Sprint (men)
- Andrea Spendolini Sirieix – Diving, 10m Platform
- Lois Toulson & Andrea Spendolini-Sirieix – Diving, 10m Platform Synchro
- Team GB – Equestrian, Dressage Team
- Laura Collett (London 52) – Equestrian, Eventing Individual
- Team GB – Equestrian, Eventing Team
- Charley Hull – Golf
- Chelsie Giles – Judo, -52kg
- Lucy Renshall – Judo, -63g
- Vita Heathcote & Chris Grube – Sailing, 470
- Eleanor Aldridge – Sailing, Formula Kite
- Freya Colbert – Swimming, 400m Individual Medley
- Jade Jones – Taekwondo, Featherweight -57kg
- Rebecca McGowan – Taekwondo, Heavyweight +67kg
- Caden Cunningham – Taekwondo, Heavyweight +80kg
- Alex Yee – Triathlon
- Beth Potter – Triathlon
- Team GB – Triathlon Team Relay
- Emily Campbell – Weightlifting, +81kg